Decisions have
hidden consequences.
Every decision triggers second, third, and fourth-order effects that compound over time. These are the consequences nobody modeled. We catalog them.
Every entry uses the CHAIN framework: Context, Hypothesis, Actual Chain, Impact, Navigation. Evidence-based. Falsifiable. Neutral.
Not a blog
Not opinion pieces. Not hot takes. Every claim cites evidence.
Not advisory
We describe effects, we don't prescribe actions. You decide.
Not monetized
No ads. No paywall. No email capture. No tracking. Ever.
We know nothing about you.
Cloudflare Web Analytics — aggregate pageviews only. No user-level data. No fingerprinting. No social login. Nothing.
Share, adapt, even commercially — with attribution.
Do whatever you want. No restrictions.
The reference layer for decision lag.
Second Order Effects is a public knowledge asset built by Lagbase — a platform that surfaces organizational indecision.